Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.115560 0.123972 0.132685 0.142389 0.152901 0.163953 0.176460
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.098763 0.110711 0.123709 0.138927 0.156292 0.175529 0.198510
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.091655 0.105869 0.121862 0.141246 0.164182 0.190548 0.223286
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083990 0.099345 0.117088 0.139197 0.166133 0.198041 0.238934
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.078158 0.094344 0.113480 0.137904 0.168426 0.205543 0.254456
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072187 0.088674 0.108558 0.134469 0.167575 0.208776 0.264420
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.067909 0.084768 0.105475 0.132980 0.168855 0.214469 0.277510
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.064883 0.082215 0.103870 0.133157 0.172107 0.222652 0.294062
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.061223 0.078625 0.100701 0.131047 0.172120 0.226413 0.304671
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058433 0.076005 0.098624 0.130202 0.173669 0.232161 0.318122
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057725 0.076077 0.100056 0.134077 0.181733 0.247065 0.345052
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055323 0.073743 0.098127 0.133206 0.183103 0.252626 0.358780
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052858 0.071269 0.095963 0.131997 0.184053 0.257801 0.372489
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049893 0.067986 0.092550 0.128868 0.182099 0.258689 0.379863
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.048888 0.067385 0.092831 0.130996 0.187825 0.270996 0.405097
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046684 0.064984 0.090448 0.129113 0.187482 0.274180 0.416298
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044845 0.063027 0.088609 0.127926 0.188081 0.278745 0.429812
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042546 0.060309 0.085551 0.124769 0.185502 0.278243 0.435071
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.040904 0.058492 0.083739 0.123401 0.185589 0.281845 0.447121
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.039788 0.057407 0.082960 0.123564 0.188044 0.289248 0.465787
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038169 0.055507 0.080887 0.121625 0.187057 0.291044 0.475027
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.036945 0.054161 0.079597 0.120848 0.187878 0.295772 0.489466
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.036890 0.054588 0.081021 0.124409 0.195876 0.312645 0.525901